Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140 0.000150 0.000161 0.000173 0.000186
2024-12-15 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000149 0.000167 0.000188 0.000215
2024-12-22 0.000103 0.000116 0.000131 0.000150 0.000174 0.000204 0.000245
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000112 0.000130 0.000153 0.000183 0.000223 0.000282
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000149 0.000183 0.000229 0.000302
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000099 0.000118 0.000143 0.000179 0.000229 0.000312
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000094 0.000113 0.000139 0.000176 0.000231 0.000324
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000132 0.000169 0.000225 0.000323
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000087 0.000105 0.000133 0.000174 0.000237 0.000355
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106 0.000135 0.000181 0.000254 0.000400
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000138 0.000188 0.000272 0.000450
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000087 0.000110 0.000145 0.000203 0.000306 0.000548
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000107 0.000144 0.000205 0.000318 0.000601
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105 0.000142 0.000205 0.000327 0.000653
2025-03-16 0.000064 0.000080 0.000104 0.000142 0.000210 0.000346 0.000743
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000079 0.000104 0.000145 0.000219 0.000377 0.000893
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000077 0.000101 0.000141 0.000217 0.000380 0.000947
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000136 0.000209 0.000371 0.000950
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000132 0.000205 0.000367 0.000976
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000089 0.000125 0.000195 0.000350 0.000931
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000126 0.000199 0.000370 0.001080
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000129 0.000208 0.000402 0.001337
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000131 0.000216 0.000435 0.001672